Keeping aside who will win the Government, now talk of the town is about type of Government if opposition wins the election. Contrary to expectations, formation of Government under UPA is totally ruled out. So, it is neither NDA nor UPA but UF kind coalition. Everyone remembers that there are three types of coalition experiments in the country. Why chances are remote for UPA? UPA means coalition under Congress party headed by Rahul Gandhi. Only few constituents like DMK, RJD, NCP may accept Rahul Gandhi as PM. Other major opposition stalwarts like Mamata, Mayavati, Akhilesh will not accept Rahul Gandhi as leader. They claim leadership themselves. Leaders like Chandrababu Naidu, Devagowda may take neutral stand so that they can act as bridge between these claimants. It may help their inner ambitions to emerge as compromising leaders. Even chances of leaders like Naveen Patnaik , KCR are bright in such circumstances. The reason is simple. Congress never accepts strong leaders like Mamata, Mayavati. Chances for weak candidates as compromising candidates are more. Whoever may be, the coalition if at all materialises will be UF but not UPA.
So, the choice now is between NDA and UF but not UPA. Even if UF emerges on the basis of results, it will not long last for full term as lot of inner contradictions exists among the coalition partners. As happened in the past, in such circumstances, NDA will re-emerge as strong force in mid-term elections. UF experiments will be temporary. The prospects of Congress are not hopeful in near future.The following possibilities may occur after elections:
1. Even now, chances of NDA forming next Government are more.
2. If it does not happen, a non-Congress opposition leader will be PM. The coalition will be UF type .
3. Such Government will not long last and mid-term elections will occur.
4. NDA will emerge with more majority in mid-term elections.
5. Congress may undergo leadership change. Priyanka Gandhi may takeover in place of Rahul Gandhi.
These are certain possibilities. If Modi come back to power, entire scenario will change. Congress will be in deep trouble. The cases against them may reach logical conclusions. BJP may take the fight in West Bengal to the next level in State elections. It will take serious steps to reach South. By 2024, it may emerge as biggest and largest national party. This possibility is also not ruled out. So, 23rd May is game changer for future destiny of Indian politics. Let us eagerly wait for the D Day.